Forecast Discussion
NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

846
FXUS63 KOAX 031134
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
534 AM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Widely scattered flurries and light snow showers this morning
  (15-25% chance). Snow amounts of a trace up to a few tenths of
  an inch. Minor to no travel impact expected.

- Another round of light wintry precipitation is possible
  (15-30% chance) tonight into Wednesday morning, mainly near
  and north of I-80. A few spots in northeast Nebraska could see
  slick roads with up to a half inch of snow and a glaze of ice
  (10% chance).

- Near-seasonal temperatures today and Wednesday warming into
  the 50s Thursday, and 40s and 50s Friday through Monday.
  These warmer temperatures could allow river ice to break up
  and move, increasing the risk of ice jams.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 344 AM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

Early morning analysis showed some weak shortwave energy
sliding through the SD/IA/NE border area with radar showing some
associated light returns. However, not many locations were
reporting precip, owing to dry near surface air, though a few
spots were seeing some flurries. These should continue off and
on through at least this morning, though model soundings suggest
we`ll continue to struggle with dry air, so expecting little to
no accumulation and only perhaps some very localized dustings
on roadways. Should also mention given the dry air, we may at
times lose in-cloud ice allowing some freezing drizzle to mix
in, but again, accumulations are expected to be fairly
inconsequential. Otherwise, expect highs in the 30s area-wide.

For tonight into Wednesday, another shortwave trough is on
track to slide through the area and bring additional light
precipitation chances. The initial push of forcing and
associated precip continues to be more over western into central
NE, leaving us dry initially. However, trends are toward the
trough amplifying and becoming a little more positively tilted
allowing a secondary bit of energy to "fold over" into the
forecast area early Wednesday morning. As a result, latest short
term guidance is indicating a southwest to northeast oriented
band of precip moving into northeast NE during the early morning
hours and sliding south through the remainder of the morning.
Still some questions on exact timing, coverage, and how far
south/east any accumulation will make it, but most CAMs have
this signal. As far as precip type, model soundings suggest
it`ll start as snow, but we quickly lose saturation aloft,
eliminating in-cloud ice. This could lead to brief transition
to freezing drizzle as we have some decent low level warm air
advection and a 1-2 km deep layer of low level saturation.
Precip should move through relatively quickly, so amounts of
both snow and ice should remain low for most areas (0.1-0.2" of
snow, glaze of ice). However, CAMs do show some convective snow
shower potential, suggesting some localized half inch snow
accumulations and slick roads aren`t out of the question (10%
chance in portions of northeast NE). Any precip we get should
exit by early Wednesday afternoon with temperatures climbing
into the mid 30s to around 40.

For Thursday onward, upper level ridging over the western CONUS
will gradually edge eastward leading to warmer weather.
Thursday continues to look like the warmest day of the next
seven with westerly downslope flow helping us to get into the
50s for nearly the entire area, and perhaps even a few readings
hitting 60 as you go west of Lincoln and Norfolk. A cold front
is still progged to slide through Friday, though guidance is in
very good agreement that it will be a dry passage and won`t
impact temperatures too much. Expect highs to remain in the 40s
and 50s through the weekend into early next week with long term
outlooks favoring above average temperatures continuing into
mid-February. Given the warmer temperatures, we`ll continue to
watch for river ice break up/movement and an increasing threat
of ice jams. However, overnight lows below freezing most nights
into early next week should help keep it somewhat gradual.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 534 AM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

MVFR ceilings expected to prevail for much of the period with
some scattering out possible at OMA and LNK after 00Z, though
3500-4000 ft ceilings are expected to remain. There`s also a
15-20% chance some light snow or brief freezing drizzle moves
through OMA this morning, but upstream observations suggest any
restrictions would be limited. Additional snow showers or light
freezing drizzle are expected late in the period (09Z or later
at OFK), but confidence in timing and coverage remains too low
to include at this time. Otherwise winds will remain light and
northeasterly this morning and will become more northerly to
northwesterly this afternoon/evening.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...CA
AVIATION...CA

NWS OAX Office Area Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion
NWS Hastings, NE

357
FXUS63 KGID 031135
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
535 AM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Rain/snow showers possible starting during the late afternoon/evening
  hours (west/southwest) and continuing through Wednesday
  morning (possible across the entire area). Impacts look to be
  minimal but a quick dusting of snow is possible.

- Well above normal Temperatures expected Thursday onwards with highs
  in the upper 40s to low 60s.

- Dry weather expected Wednesday afternoon onwards.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 401 AM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

Temperatures this morning are currently in the 20s. Cloud coverage
is increasing over the area as a stratus deck moves into
eastern/northeastern portions of the area. A few flurries can`t be
ruled out in this stratus deck, but the best chances look to be
northeast of the forecast area. Highs today will vary from mid 30s
across northeastern portions of the area to the low 50s across
southwestern portions of the area.

Scattered rain showers move into southwestern portions of the area
during the late afternoon hours as a shortwave trough moves into the
Plains. The best chances for precipitation through midnight
will be for areas mainly along and west of Highway 183. As
temperatures cool this evening, rain showers will transition to
snow showers. There could be a brief window within this
transition where freezing rain/drizzle is possible, but this
does not look to be a widespread or significant impact. More
widespread chances for precipitation arrive around midnight and
continue through the morning hours on Wednesday. Accumulations
from any snow showers looks to remain fairly light, though a
quick dusting/coating is possible in snow showers. Additionally,
breezy winds Wednesday morning could result in brief reductions
in visibility in falling snow. After showers depart the area on
Wednesday, highs climb into the upper 30s (northeast) to mid
40s (southwest).

Otherwise the forecast remains on track, as highs climb into the 50s
and 60s on Thursday. Highs in the upper 40s to low 60s expected
through the rest of the forecast period. Dry weather is expected
Wednesday afternoon onwards.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 405 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

Today has been seasonably mild, as expected, under copious high
levels clouds. Far W portions of the area have actually warmed
into the low to mid 50s behind a sfc trough that swung winds
more westerly and resulted in better mixing. Quiet conditions
will persist through the evening hours.

A "clipper" system - currently seen in water vapor and regional
radar mosaic imagery over the Dakotas - will quickly shift SE
tonight. The brunt of the forcing with this wave will remain
along and esp. E of the MO River Valley, but could get just
enough moisture/lift to squeeze out some flurries and/or light
snow showers over our far NE after midnight. Some of the latest
hi-res guidance shows some simulated reflectivity lingering
along Hwy 81 corridor through late morning. Not expecting much
for impacts, if any, given off and on nature of only light snow.
To the point, 12Z EPS probabilities were 

NWS GID Office Area Forecast Discussion