Forecast Discussion
NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

616
FXUS63 KOAX 100523
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
1123 PM CST Mon Feb 9 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Continued potential for ice movement is expected for the
  Platte, Loup, and Elkhorn Rivers. A Flood Watch remains in
  effect through at least Tuesday morning.

- A cold front has brought cooler weather to the area. Despite
  this, temperatures remain above normal through this week.

- Periodic rain chances are expected on Wednesday night into
  Thursday morning, on Saturday, and again early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1045 PM CST Mon Feb 9 2026

The record warm temperatures on Monday were short-lived. A cold
front is continuing south through the area late this evening.
The front will result in significantly cooler temperatures on
Tuesday. Despite the cold front, temperatures are forecast to
remain above normal. This is true not only for Tuesday, but for
the entire forecast period as largely zonal flow keeps the
weather steady. Temperatures briefly fall to near freezing this
morning before climbing into the 40s to near 50 this afternoon.
With these continued warm temperatures, potential ice movement
on area rivers, especially the Loup, Platte, and Elkhorn Rivers,
remains possible.

The coldest temperatures of the forecast are anticipated
Wednesday morning, as surface high pressure helps temperatures
plummet into the 20s. Temperatures rebound nicely into the lower
50s by Wednesday afternoon. A weak disturbance quickly moves
over the central and northern Great Plains Wednesday night into
Thursday morning. At the moment, much of the precipitation is
forecast to remain north of the region, but a low (15-30%)
chance of rain remains for northern portions of northeast
Nebraska and west-central Iowa. Precipitation is likely to
remain a cold rain, as clouds should keep surface temperatures
just above freezing through Thursday morning. Beyond this,
temperatures warm slightly through the end of the week.

Our next weather system arrives on Saturday. The latest
forecast guidance is coming into agreement that the main
shortwave and low-pressure center will remain across the
southern Great Plains. This will keep the majority of any
precipitation south of the area. As a result, rain chances have
lowered with this forecast to only a low to medium (20-50%)
chance of rain for much of the area. The best chance of rain
will be with southern extent, closer to the low pressure center.
With less precipitation expected, the slow warming of late week
continues through the weekend. Our next weather maker after
this is not currently anticipated until sometime early next
week.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1045 PM CST Mon Feb 9 2026

VFR conditions continue through the forecast period. Scattered
high cirrus clouds will periodically pass through the region.
North winds will continue for all terminals.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...Flood Watch through Tuesday morning for NEZ016-017-031>033-
     042>045-050>053-067.
IA...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Chehak
AVIATION...Chehak

NWS OAX Office Area Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion
NWS Hastings, NE

729
FXUS63 KGID 100544
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1144 PM CST Mon Feb 9 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A Red Flag Warning remains in effect until 6PM tonight for
  Valley, Greeley, Sherman and Howard counties in Nebraska and
  Rooks, Osborne and Mitchell counties in Kansas.

- A cold front powering through tonight (9PM-1AM) will bring a brief
  period of gusty northerly winds with gusts high as 30-40MPH
  immediately following its passage.

- Temperatures will drop around 25 degrees from today (70s) to Tuesday
  (upper 40s to low 50s) following the cold frontal passage.

- The next chance of rain lies Friday and Saturday with peak
  probabilities ranging as low as 35% across far northwestern
  portions of the area up to 70% across far southeastern
  portions of the area. Despite these generally higher PoPs,
  precipitation amounts currently look to remain minimal. A lot
  of uncertainty still resides.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 316 PM CST Mon Feb 9 2026


Short Term Period (This Afternoon Though Wednesday)...

The Red Flag Warning in effect for Valley, Greeley, Sherman and
Howard counties in Nebraska as well as Rooks, Osborne and Mitchell
counties in Kansas, will remain in effect until 6PM this afternoon.
Record high temperatures today have helped dry conditions
considerably, allowing relative humidity values to drop as low as 10-
25% across the area. Wind gusts approaching 25MPH across the Nebraska
Sandhills as well as across portions of north central Kansas this
afternoon, provoke these areas of critical fire weather conditions.
Near-critical fire weather conditions additionally lie for the rest
of the area outside of the warning.

Do not get use to this record heat today as temperatures will drop
around 20-25 degrees for Tuesday and Wednesday (from the 70s down to
the upper 40s to low 50s). A (dry) cold front will lead the charge
later this evening, dropping southeast and initiating this cool
down. Winds behind the front will flip northward with a short window
of overnight gusts as high as 40-45MPH possible (40-70% chance). The
timing of the front is expected to pass between 9PM and 1AM. Higher
surface pressure infiltrating behind this front will help nudge
these winds back some by the second half of the day Tuesday. Steady
to occasionally light winds (gusts 

NWS GID Office Area Forecast Discussion