Forecast Discussion
NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

875
FXUS63 KOAX 262329
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
529 PM CST Fri Dec 26 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Fog re-development is expected across portions of western Iowa
  tonight. There is a possibility of some patchy fog in eastern
  Nebraska.

- A wintry system will bring the potential for snow, wind, and
  possibly a little ice to the region Sunday.

- After the mild weather we`ve had over the past week,
  temperatures for the remainder of 2025 will come as a bit of a
  shock, with highs in the 20s and 30s on several days.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 329 PM CST Fri Dec 26 2025

Fog has cleared out of eastern Nebraska; however, it has
lingered well into this afternoon across portions of western
and central Iowa. High temperatures will be in the 50s to low
60s for much of the Omaha CWA, with a few 40s to low 50s in
areas where the fog held on a bit longer. Fog is expected again
this evening into tonight, primarily for western Iowa; however,
areas along the Missouri River and spreading into extreme
eastern Nebraska. Fog may be dense in some areas, particularly
for portions of western Iowa.

Heading into Saturday, the area comes under southwest flow, with a
ridge over the eastern CONUS and a mid-level trough digging
southeast from the PACNW into the Rockies. Above seasonal
temperatures are expected for the region, with highs once again
reaching the 50s and 60s.

Saturday night, low pressure will enter the Dakotas and a cold front
will push southeastward into Nebraska and Iowa. With the current
expected timing and trajectory of the low and cold front, Sunday
high temperatures will likely occur around midnight or in the early
morning hours. PoPs have come up a little (30-50% chance) for
Sunday. Thermal profiles do show the possibility of some ice
potential as temperatures fall, before p-type becomes all snow. As
far as current amounts, areas mainly along and north of I-80 could
see a dusting to around 1" of snow and maybe a light glaze of ice.
There is still some uncertainty in how much of an issue the ice
potential will be and the trajectory of the storm system, both of
which will factor into amounts. The other noteworthy factor is that
models currently show the low not tapping into warm, moist, Gulf air
until after precipitation has exited the forecast area, which would
also keep our amounts on the lower end. Winds are expected to be
gusty behind the front, reaching 40mph in some locations.

The blast of arctic air will make temperatures quite unpleasant
Sunday night/Monday morning. Lows are currently forecasted to be in
the single digits above zero for western Iowa and our Nebraska
counties falling north of I-80. Areas south of the interstate, and
areas along the Missouri River from Omaha and Council Bluffs
southward will struggle to remain in the double digits. Northwest
winds around 20-30mph will remain possible heading into Monday
morning. The combination of the cold temperatures and winds will
result in wind chill values ranging from five below zero to around
14 below zero. Those heading out the door Monday morning will want
to bundle up.

Dry and cold conditions are expected on Monday as the low continues
to move east over the Great Lakes. A tight pressure gradient will
remain over eastern Nebraska/western Iowa Monday, keeping our
northwest winds on the breezy side (sustained 15-25mph; gusts 20-
35mph). Highs will struggle into the 20s for much of the area. Lows
will be in the single digits and teens.

Northwest flow returns over the region Tuesday. Expect a brief
warmup as temperatures return to the mid-30s to mid-40s for highs.
The cold air returns Wednesday as a shortwave drops into the region.
Northeastern Nebraska may get clipped with a few snow showers during
the daytime hours. The remainder of the forecast period remains dry
and cold. Highs will be in the 20s and 30s with lows in the
single digits/teens Friday morning and the teens and 20s heading
into the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 529 PM CST Fri Dec 26 2025

VFR conditions are observed at the start of this TAF cycle with
light south southeast winds. Confidence has increased (50 to 60%
chance) for fog and low stratus to overspread KOMA after 10z
resulting in IFR conditions at the terminal through at least
16z. Some model guidance develops fog slightly earlier by 06z,
but will continue to reassess trends and make adjustments if
arrival occurs earlier. Fog/low clouds may clip KLNK, but at
this time have kept in VFR given low confidence in occurrence.

Winds will remain under 12 kts for the duration of the TAF
cycle and generally from the southeast. Could also see a short period
of LLWS at KOFK after 11z through at least 14z.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...ANW
AVIATION...Castillo

NWS OAX Office Area Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion
NWS Hastings, NE

766
FXUS63 KGID 262333
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
533 PM CST Fri Dec 26 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Pleasant weather on Saturday with highs in the 60s.

- A cold front moves into the area early Sunday morning bringing
  a chance for light snow (25-35%), though accumulations look
  to be light (under 0.5").

- Northwest winds gusting 35-45mph behind the cold frontal
  passage on Sunday.

- Wind chills below zero (-1 to -10) Monday morning.

- Roller-Coaster temperatures continue next week with highs
  ranging from the 40s and 50s (Tue/Wed) to the 20s and 30s
  (Mon/Thu).

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 328 PM CST Fri Dec 26 2025

This evening through Saturday....

It`s a beautiful day outside today, with near-record to record warm
temperatures across the area as temperatures currently sit in the
mid 60s to low 70s. Aloft, ridging resides over the area with a
trough located along the West Coast. Cloud coverage increases
overnight, becoming partly to mostly cloudy. Lows tonight will
remain above normal, in the 30s (normal lows in the teens).
Another pleasant day is expected on Saturday as highs once again
climb into the 60s, though a few degrees cooler than today.
Light westerly winds further add to the peasant day. Enjoy it,
as much cooler air arrives Sunday.

Sunday and Monday...

A cold front dives into the area early Sunday morning, with winds
quickly increasing behind the cold frontal passage, gusting 35-
45mph. Some light snow is also possible (25-35%) behind the frontal
passage. Snow accumulations look to be fairly light (under 0.5") and
confined to mainly areas along and northwest of the Tri-Cities. Of
bigger concern/focus will be in regards to the combined threat of
falling snow and gusty winds. Snow falling with winds gusting 35-
45mph would result in a period of reduced visibility even if
accumulations are minimal. Snow is expected to exit the area by the
early afternoon hours as the surface low moves into the Midwest.

Most areas will see their "high" temperatures occur around
midnight/early am, as much cooler air moves in behind the front.
Temperatures steadily decrease throughout the morning hours with
little if any increase in temperatures Sunday afternoon
(temperatures in the teens-20s). Northwest winds gusting 35-45mph
gradually decrease during the evening, but remain elevated overnight
gusting 20-30mph. Temperatures in the single digits to low teens are
expected Monday morning. Wind chill values Monday morning drop below
zero due to the combination of cold temperatures and breezy winds.
Despite the sunny skies, highs on Monday only climb into the 20s to
low 30s with wind chill values confined to the teens and 20s.

Tuesday Onwards...

Northwest flow sets up over the area Tuesday onwards, resulting in
oscillating temperatures throughout the rest of the forecast period.
Highs climb back above normal on Tuesday and Wednesday (highs 40s-
50s), with the next shot of cold air (Highs 20s/30s) moving into the
area at the end of the forecast period-start of the new year. The
forecast remains dry through the latter half of the forecast period.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 528 PM CST Fri Dec 26 2025

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

Dry weather with VFR conditions are forecast for this TAF
period. There will be plenty of SCT clouds passing through the
region, but ceilings are expected to remain in the upper levels,
mainly above 12k feet. Winds this evening/overnight are expected
to remain southwesterly with speeds around 10 MPH. During the
daytime hours on Saturday, winds will be turning more westerly,
then northwesterly with the passage of a weak frontal boundary,
with winds again only topping out around 10-15 MPH.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 503 AM CST Thu Dec 25 2025

- REGARDING RECORD WARM TEMP POTENTIAL DEC 26-27:
Below is where our latest forecast (or already-observed values)
stand versus existing records at Grand Island and Hastings
airports, the two NWS-maintained sites for which we issue
official Record Event Reports (RERGRI/RERHSI). Please note that
* indicates that our latest forecast/observed value would tie or
break an existing daily record:


- RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES             | Latest Forecast
                                         or Observed
Grand Island, NE (GRI)

December 26: 64 in 2005 | Observed: 70*
December 27: 64 in 1937 | Forecast: 62

---------------

Hastings, NE (HSI)

December 26: 65 in 2005 | Observed: 70*
December 27: 64 in 1937 | Forecast: 62

_________________________________________________________

- RECORD WARM LOW/MINIMUM TEMPERATURES | Latest Forecast
                                         or Observed
Grand Island, NE (GRI)

December 27: 34 in 1905 | Forecast: 37*

---------------

Hastings, NE (HSI)

December 27: 37 in 1957 | Forecast: 37*

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Davis
AVIATION...ADP
CLIMATE...NWS Hastings

NWS GID Office Area Forecast Discussion