29°F
Updated:
11/9/2025
03:05:55am
Forecast Discussion
NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
465 FXUS63 KOAX 090833 AFDOAX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE 233 AM CST Sun Nov 9 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Cold today into Monday morning when wind chills could approach zero in northeast Nebraska. - Gradual warming is expected this week, with highs rebounding into the 50s and 60s. Some 70s are even possible on Friday and Saturday. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 233 AM CST Sun Nov 9 2025 Today and Tonight: Within an amplifying mid-level trough from the Great Lakes into the mid-MS Valley, early morning water imagery shows an embedded vorticity maximum progressing south through the northern Plains and upper-MS Valley. That feature will continue south through the mid-MO Valley today with a few flurries remaining possible this morning in far eastern NE and western IA. By this afternoon, clouds will diminish as subsidence on the backside of the passing disturbance overspreads the area. Despite the increasing sunshine, it will be cold with highs in the upper 20s to mid 30s. Blustery, north winds will continue through much of the day before diminishing by this evening. Tonight, surface high pressure will pass to the immediate west of the area with the decreasing clouds and winds enhancing radiational cooling potential. As such, this forecast update has trended toward the low side of model guidance on overnight lows, ranging from the single digits to around 17. Wind chills could approach zero in parts of northeast NE with single digits above zero elsewhere. Monday through Saturday: A rather uneventful, but warmer weather pattern is expected through much of the upcoming week. An amplified mid-level ridge currently positioned along the West Coast will gradually build east into the central U.S. by the end of the workweek, ahead of a trough moving into the Interior West. The prevailing northwest flow aloft will encourage a dry and warmer surface pattern through Friday. We could see a day or two of high fire danger in northeast NE; however, there is currently no model signal for a period of stronger winds that would enhance a wildfire risk. By next weekend, the 12z global models indicate the above- mentioned trough potentially moving into the Great Plains. However, there is considerable model variability in the handling of that system. Highs in the 30s and 40s on Monday are forecast to warm into the 50 and 60s from Tuesday through Thursday with some 70s even possible by Friday and Saturday. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/... Issued at 1020 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025 MVFR conditions persist at the terminals through the evening and overnight hours, improving to VFR between 17-20Z. A few flurries or very light snow show showers may be possible in the vicinity of KOMA and KLNK for a few more hours, tapering off later tonight. Breezy north winds continue through the period at 14-19kts with gusts as high as 25kts. && .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...None. IA...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Mead AVIATION...ANW
NWS OAX Office Area Forecast Discussion
Forecast Discussion
NWS Hastings, NE
379 FXUS63 KGID 090512 AFDGID Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Hastings NE 1112 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Gusty northwest winds of 30 to 45 mph will continue through this evening along with scattered rain showers. A few snow flakes could even mix in after sunset (Nebraska zones), but no snow accumulation expected. - Coldest air of the season will filter into the region over the next 36 hours. Low temperatures tonight behind the departing storm system will only be in the lower 20s Nebraska to the mid 20s Kansas. Highs on Sunday will struggle into the upper 30s in the Tri- Cities with Sunday night lows in the mid teens. - Unseasonably warm temperatures return by Tuesday and continue much of next week. Several days of highs in the 60s to near 70 are expected Tue-Sat. - Dry conditions are likely after tonight through the next 7+ days. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 218 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025 Today into Tonight... A strong cold front has swept through the area and the post frontal northwest winds will remain particularly gusty (35-45 mph)until around sunset, when they will gradually begin to decrease. Wind gusts could still be over 25 mph until around midnight. We had one cluster of rain showers move through the Grand Island/Hastings area earlier this afternoon and at 3 PM was from York to Hebron. There is less activity on radar behind these initial showers, but with some sunshine we could see additional convectively driven rain showers develop mainly north of I-80 over the next several hours. The 18Z HRRR indicates that a few rain showers could turn over to snow around or after sunset before ending as colder air filters in. Sunday into Monday... Northwest winds continue to bring in the colder air, but at least the wind will not be as gusty as today and we expect clear skies by afternoon. Still it will not feel pleasant with highs only in the mid to upper 30s Nebraska to lower 40s over north central Kansas. Sunday afternoon wind chill values never get above 30 degrees in the Tri-Cities. Pipe freezing mid teens are expected for low temperatures Sunday night, if you still have outdoor plumbing turned on you might want to take care of that. Monday will be the beginning of the warmup with clear skies and warmer southerly winds. Highs back into the 40s. Tuesday through Saturday... An upper level ridge will develop over the western United States and gradually slide east into our area as we head through the period resulting in above normal temperatures and dry conditions. The next storm system will likely be a cut off low over the desert southwest that could eject into the high plains as early as Sunday, but too early to tell if it will focus its rain on the southern plains or the central plains. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/... Issued at 1107 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025 For KGRI/KEAR Airports: MVFR ceilings will persist through 09-10z before clearing/becoming VFR. Added a tempo group at KGRI/KEAR as there could be a back and forth between MVFR and VFR before ultimately becoming VFR. Skies become clear by the mid morning hours, with clear skies persisting through sunset. North- northwest winds of 10-15kts, gusting 20-25kts are expected through sunset on Sunday. After sunset winds become light as gusts fall below 15kts. && .GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...None. KS...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Wesely AVIATION...Davis
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