Forecast Discussion
NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

116
FXUS63 KOAX 111050
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
550 AM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Patchy dense fog is expected over parts of the area Saturday
  morning.

- Stretch of hot and dry weather starts Saturday into much of
  next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1116 PM CDT Fri Jul 10 2026

A few weak storms bubbled up along a boundary in far southwest Iowa
and southeast Nebraska Friday evening. Enhanced stretching potential
allowed a couple of funnel clouds to sneak into view before storms
dissipated shortly after sunset.

Quiet conditions will likely continue overnight with light and
variable winds and clearing skies. With these conditions comes the
potential for patchy fog to develop. The best chance for fog will
lie primarily along and east of the Missouri River, however some
lower visibilities could sneak into eastern Nebraska by early
Saturday morning.

Any lingering patchy fog should dissipate shortly after sunrise,
with warm and mostly sunny conditions prevailing through the day.
Highs Saturday afternoon are forecast to range from the mid 80s over
southeast Nebraska/southwest Iowa to the low 90s in northeast
Nebraska.

High pressure will continue to build over the west-central CONUS
this weekend and through the first half of next week. For those of
us in the Central Plains, this means that hot and dry weather will
continue. Look for afternoon highs to continue to climb through the
upper 80s and into the 90s over the coming week.

Luckily, model solutions indicate most of the Gulf moisture will
remain well to the south of the forecast area, limiting excessively
humid conditions. However, expect dewpoints are at least slightly
underdone without taking into account the effects of "corn sweat"
during this time of year. For now, expect heat indicies in the upper
90s likely creeping into the low 100s for at least a day or 2, by
middle to late next week.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 540 AM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

Patchy dense fog has developed across most of eastern Nebraska
and western Iowa this morning. Conditions vary substantially
across the area with shallow fog focused across low-lying areas
and river valleys. At this time, fog has settled into OFK and
LNK and held off at OMA. Varying MVFR and IFR visibility is
likely in fog through 14Z before fog lifts later this morning.
The remainder of the period will be VFR. A few afternoon cumulus
around FL060 can be anticipated. Winds remain light but will
become generally east to southeast through the afternoon.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...KG
AVIATION...Chehak

NWS OAX Office Area Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion
NWS Hastings, NE

193
FXUS63 KGID 111139
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
639 AM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Fog is expected to develop overnight across portions of the
  area. There is uncertainty as to how widespread or dense it
  will become.

- No rain or storms are expected today through Friday.

- High temperatures will gradually warm through Friday.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 109 AM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

The main feature of significance in this forecast is the potential
for fog development overnight into the morning hours. Some locations
are already reporting reduced visibility. The factors supporting fog
development are recent rainfall and light winds. There is some
higher level cloud moving over portions of the area which may hinder
fog development a bit. Winds are expected to be variable which may
help or hinder fog development depending on wind direction.
Conditions will be monitored in case if the fog becomes dense and
widespread enough for an advisory to be issued. Otherwise, low
temperatures overnight are expected to range from the upper 50s to
the mid 60s. Sunny to mostly sunny skies are expected today with
high temperatures in the mid/upper 80s to low 90s. Winds during the
afternoon will mostly be out of the southeast generally between 5 to
10 MPH with gusts up to around 15 MPH across western portions of the
area. Low temperatures tonight will mostly be in the mid 60s with
light south to east winds.

No showers or storms are expected through the end of the forecast
(today through Friday). High temperatures will be on a very gradual
warming trend through Friday with highs on Friday in the mid 90s to
near 100 degrees. Low temperatures will generally be in the 60s each
night through Tuesday night/Wednesday morning then will warm up into
mainly the 70s Thursday night and Friday night.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 202 PM CDT Fri Jul 10 2026

Today and Tonight

The showers/thunderstorms from this morning are continually
weakening and moving eastward out of the area this morning/early
afternoon, as the remnants of a mesoscale convective vortex (MCV)
looses its upper level support. Some midlevel cloud cover will
linger through the afternoon across most of the area as the
shortwave trough aloft takes its sweet time moving east and
upper level divergence remains. Due to this limited solar
radiation reaching the surface, high temperatures today will
remain cool for July`s standards, with highs generally in the
mid 80s.

This Weekend into Next Week

After today, a high amplitude ridge will build across the central
CONUS, with 500mb heights between 570-600dm reaching up to the
US/Canada border. This will allow for dry conditions and
temperatures to steadily increase up into the 90s by Monday. Heat
index values remain in the low to mid 90s through most of next week,
as low-level moisture flow from the Gulf looks to be more limited.
In fact, there is a low chance (up to 20%) that heat index values
exceed 95 degrees through Wednesday.

Precipitation chances remain grim through the end of the forecast
period, with the next best chance next weekend. However, there is a
fair amount of uncertainty in the overarching synoptic pattern, with
some model guidance suggesting the penetration of a digging trough
(supporting a possible break from the heat and a chance for
preciptiation) while other model guidance maintains the upper level
ridge (supporting continued warming temperatures and a greater
potential for extreme heat).

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 634 AM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

Fog is expected to continue until around 14z. Winds will be
light and variable this morning then will generally range from
the south to southeast and may get up to around 10 knots this
afternoon. There may be fog development tonight by 12z Sunday
but confidence is low at this time.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CDT this morning for NEZ039>041-
     046>049-060>064-072>077.
KS...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...Schuldt
DISCUSSION...Scott
AVIATION...Schuldt

NWS GID Office Area Forecast Discussion