Forecast Discussion
NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

413
FXUS63 KOAX 100424
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
1124 PM CDT Sat May 9 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry conditions anticipated for most with highs in the 70s
  Sunday.

- Warmer temperatures expected for much of this week with highs
  in the 80s. Expect some 90s by Friday into Saturday.

- Warm and breezy conditions expected Tuesday and again Thursday
  resulting in increased fire danger risk. Low end chances for
  PoPs expected Tuesday (

NWS OAX Office Area Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion
NWS Hastings, NE

103
FXUS63 KGID 092352
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
652 PM CDT Sat May 9 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms remain possible
  into tonight, although many areas, especially north of I-80
  will remain dry.

- There is a low chance (5%) for storms to become severe, mainly
  southwest of a line from Cambridge, NE to Mankato, KS. Strong
  wind gusts to 60 MPH is the main concern.

- Beyond tonight, rain chances look bleak until at least
  Thursday/Friday.

- Fire weather will become the primary concern next week as
  hot, dry, and breezy conditions return to the area.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 330 PM CDT Sat May 9 2026

A cold front crossed the local area early this afternoon
switching winds to the north and bringing a few showers to areas
mainly south of I-80. Latest mesoanalysis from SPC indicates
that there is very limited instability to work with, but evenso,
we have seen a couple of weak thunderstorm manage to develop
across north central Kansas this past hour. Most recent CAMS
suggest additional development across north central Kansas over
the next few hours, keeping the more explosive activity to the
south of the local forecast area.

Upstream of the area, thunderstorms can be seen expanding in
coverage across northeastern Colorado...which is forecast to
transition east/southeast through the evening hours...
potentially impacting areas mainly south of I-80 late tonight.
That said, by the time this activity reaches the local area it
should be weakening, and the severe weather potential will
likely be limited to stronger wind gusts...if any stronger
storms are able to hold together at all. While precipitation
totals are generally highly variable with thunderstorms, most
locations south of I-80 can expect to see less than 0.10" of
precipitation with a few lucky locations across our north
central Kansas counties possibly seeing closer to 0.50".

Expect a few lingering showers to then impact portions of north
central Kansas early Sunday morning, with clearing skies
anticipated areawide by mid to late morning. With high
temperatures in the lower 70s, light northerly breezes and ample
Sunshine, Sunday should be a very nice day across the area,
before temperatures start to ramp up for the start of the work
week. This warm-up will be in response to high pressure
transitioning across the area aloft by Monday  afternoon...
helping temperatures to climb into the 80s while suppressing any
convective potential. Thus, expect a dry and warm first half of
the week, with well above normal temperatures late week as the
ridge pushes further east and a west coast low transitions
across the intermountain west. Plenty of uncertainty in the
track of this low late week with the 12Z operational run of the
EC taking it north of the area and the GFS lifting it northeast
across Nebraska late Friday. That said, neither the GFS or EC
ensembles have a strong signal for precip at this time, so while
there are small pops in the forecast late next week, confidence
is low. What appears more certain is above normal temperatures
returning Monday and likely lingering into the latter part of
May.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 651 PM CDT Sat May 9 2026

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

VFR conditions are likely to maintain across the next at least
24-hours. A few clouds moving in overnight should not drop
ceilings below 10,000ft. Otherwise, a few showers may pass
through the vicinity between 5-9z (mainly only 7-9z for KGRI).
These showers will be brief in nature and should not deposit
much in terms of precipitation.

Winds, currently blowing out of the northeast between 10-15kts
and gusting as high as 30kts, will not stay long tonight. Gusts
are expected to drop off around 1-3z with light and variable
winds (

NWS GID Office Area Forecast Discussion