40°F
Updated:
11/8/2025
7:16:13pm
Forecast Discussion
NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
769 FXUS63 KOAX 082343 AFDOAX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE 543 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Scattered rain and snow showers (20-40% chance) are expected this evening. Little to no accumulation is expected, though a brief burst of rain/snow is possible. - Significantly colder tonight through Monday, with lows in the teens and 20s and highs in the 30s. Morning wind chills may dip into the single digits. - Gradual warming is expected next week, with highs rebounding into the 50s and 60s. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 151 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025 Tonight through Monday... Objective analysis this afternoon reveals large-scale mid- to upper- level troughing across much of the central and eastern CONUS. Locally, a potent shortwave trough continues to dig into the mid-MO Valley. At the surface, a primary low has shifted into northwest MO, with an attendant cold front advancing southward across the central Plains. The main frontogenetic/deformation band has pulled east into central IA, taking with it the primary precipitation shield responsible for the morning`s precipitation. Most of the area received light precipitation (under 0.10"), though a quick an efficient band of snow earlier this morning produced up to 2" across portions of northeast NE and west-central IA, with locally higher amounts to our north and east. A brief period of clearing has pivoted across the area early this afternoon. allowing temperatures to rise into the low to mid-40s for most area, while northern counties remain in the mid-30s. North- northwesterly winds continues to gust up to 30-40 mph. Additional isolated to scattered showers (PoPs 20-40%) are expected through the afternoon and evening as the main vorticity maximum pivots overhead. Precipitation type will be a mixed bag once again, with mainly rain transitioning to light snow from north to south as low-level CAA strengthens. Showers will remain transient with minimal coverage, so little to no accumulation is expected, though a brief rain/snow burst cannot be ruled out. The primary impact will be brief drops in visibility and slick roads under any snow showers that do move into the area. Activity will taper off from north to south through the evening hours. Temperatures will fall quickly tonight under strong CAA, with lows dipping into the teens and lower 20s. Persistent gusty winds will result in wild chills ranging from the single digits to about 12 degrees. Sunday will mark the coldest day of the week, with highs only peaking in the 30s, roughly 15-20 degrees below seasonal averages. Northerly winds gusting at 20-25 mph will keep apparent temperatures in the 20s through much of the day. By Monday, an amplifying mid- to upper-level trough centered over the Great Lakes region will maintain meridional flow aloft locally, while ridging builds across the western CONUS. Another frigid morning is expected to start the workweek, with lows in the teens and wind chills again in the single digits to near 12 degrees. Afternoon highs will moderate slightly into the upper 30s to mid-40s. Tuesday and Beyond... From Tuesday through the end of the work week, mid- to upper-level ridging will build into the central Plains, resulting in predominantly zonal to northwesterly flow aloft. This pattern shift will support a gradual moderation in temperatures through the week. Highs are expected to range from the upper 50s to upper 60s, with overnight lows generally in the mid-30s to mid-40s. At this time, no notable precipitation chances are expected, though, a weak shortwave disturbance could bring low-end chances later in the week. Looking ahead, the CPC`s 8-14 day outlook favors above-normal temperatures (60-70% chance) across the region, with precipitation amounts also leaning above average (40-50% probability). && .AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/... Issued at 524 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025 KOFK: MVFR conditions persist through the evening and into tonight across the region as our latest storm system moves through. Spotty showers will be possible through the evening, but there is not enough confidence in occurrence at the terminal to make mention of this in prevailing conditions. Ceilings will return to VFR levels by around 17Z and clear out by 20Z. Stout northerly winds around 14-19kts are expected through the forecast period. KOMA: MVFR conditions prevail this evening into tonight for the terminal due to low ceilings as a disturbance moves across the region. There is a line of showers extending from Fort Calhoun to Stanton (IA). Although decaying on the western side of the line, these showers are moving south and will move into the vicinity of the terminal over the next 1-2 hours. Ceilings will improve after midnight, with skies clearing out by 19Z. Northerly winds remain breezy around 13-18kts with gusts up to 25kts through most of the TAF period. KLNK: MVFR conditions prevail through the evening and into the overnight hours. Skies should clear out by around 20Z. There is a small chance for an isolated shower moving through the region later this evening, but confidence in location and timing is low, so the mention was omitted from prevailing conditions. North winds around 13-18kts with gusts as high as 25kts will be possible through the end of the forecast period. && .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...None. IA...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Wood AVIATION...ANW
NWS OAX Office Area Forecast Discussion
Forecast Discussion
NWS Hastings, NE
113 FXUS63 KGID 082319 AFDGID Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Hastings NE 519 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Gusty northwest winds of 30 to 45 mph will continue through this evening along with scattered rain showers. A few snow flakes could even mix in after sunset (Nebraska zones), but no snow accumulation expected. - Coldest air of the season will filter into the region over the next 36 hours. Low temperatures tonight behind the departing storm system will only be in the lower 20s Nebraska to the mid 20s Kansas. Highs on Sunday will struggle into the upper 30s in the Tri- Cities with Sunday night lows in the mid teens. - Unseasonably warm temperatures return by Tuesday and continue much of next week. Several days of highs in the 60s to near 70 are expected Tue-Sat. - Dry conditions are likely after tonight through the next 7+ days. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 218 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025 Today into Tonight... A strong cold front has swept through the area and the post frontal northwest winds will remain particularly gusty (35-45 mph)until around sunset, when they will gradually begin to decrease. Wind gusts could still be over 25 mph until around midnight. We had one cluster of rain showers move through the Grand Island/Hastings area earlier this afternoon and at 3 PM was from York to Hebron. There is less activity on radar behind these initial showers, but with some sunshine we could see additional convectively driven rain showers develop mainly north of I-80 over the next several hours. The 18Z HRRR indicates that a few rain showers could turn over to snow around or after sunset before ending as colder air filters in. Sunday into Monday... Northwest winds continue to bring in the colder air, but at least the wind will not be as gusty as today and we expect clear skies by afternoon. Still it will not feel pleasant with highs only in the mid to upper 30s Nebraska to lower 40s over north central Kansas. Sunday afternoon wind chill values never get above 30 degrees in the Tri-Cities. Pipe freezing mid teens are expected for low temperatures Sunday night, if you still have outdoor plumbing turned on you might want to take care of that. Monday will be the beginning of the warmup with clear skies and warmer southerly winds. Highs back into the 40s. Tuesday through Saturday... An upper level ridge will develop over the western United States and gradually slide east into our area as we head through the period resulting in above normal temperatures and dry conditions. The next storm system will likely be a cut off low over the desert southwest that could eject into the high plains as early as Sunday, but too early to tell if it will focus its rain on the southern plains or the central plains. && .AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/... Issued at 514 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025 For KGRI/KEAR Airports: SCT-BKN MVFR ceilings move into the TAF sites around 01-03z, but transition to VFR around/shortly after midnight. Skies gradually clear during the morning hours on Sunday, becoming clear by the late morning hours. Northwest winds gusting around 25kts continues through midnight, dropping to around 20kts by sunrise and continuing through the late afternoon. Gusts fall below 15kts around the end of the TAF period. && .GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...None. KS...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Wesely AVIATION...Davis
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