Forecast Discussion
NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

731
FXUS63 KOAX 102000
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
200 PM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A low chance (10-20%) for snow showers through this evening.
  Gusty northwest winds may briefly reduce visibility.

- Temperatures increase Sunday through Tuesday with 40s and 50s
  becoming 50s and 60s. A cooldown back into the 30s and 40s
  arrives on Wednesday.

- The next chance for precipitation (15 to 30% chance) is not
  expected until late next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 200 PM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

Rest of Today through Tonight.

A deepening upper-level low pressure continues to sink south from
Minnesota into Wisconsin. This track is a bit further north than
previously forecast and may be influencing the relative lack of snow
showers this afternoon. That said, a few snow showers or flurries
are expected across northeast and west-central Nebraska into this
evening as a reinforcing cold front continues to swing through the
region. Any snow showers or flurries dissipate this evening and
skies will quickly clear as surface high pressure filters into the
area. A cold start to Sunday is expected as a result with widespread
teens by sunrise.

Sunday through Wednesday

The colder weather does not last long as the surface high pressure
moves east of the region heading into Sunday afternoon. With mostly
sunny skies and the return of southerly winds, most locations climb
into the 40s by the afternoon. More eastern locations may hang onto
the 30s for one more day, while western areas may breach 50. By
Monday, more zonal upper-level winds will continue the warming
trend. Afternoon temperatures into the 50s are anticipated under
this pattern. A deepening system over the Great Lakes region will
begin to influence the area by Tuesday afternoon. This system
tightens the surface pressure gradient, increasing northwest winds
behind a cold front that swings through the area. Despite this "cold
front" the warm westerly winds and mostly sunny skies keeps most in
the 50s with 60s on the table for some. The colder airmass finally
arrives behind this aforementioned system on Wednesday, knocking
temperatures back down into the 30s to lower 40s.

Thursday into Next Weekend

A second system is currently forecast to arrive late next week. This
system is anticipated to track a bit farther south compared to the
previous system. This farther south track should promote the return
of at least a low chance (15-30%) of precipitation. Another cold
front should also arrive behind this system heading into next
weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1104 AM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

VFR conditions are largely expected through the TAF period.
Northwest winds are beginning to increase in speed this
afternoon to between 10 to 15 kts with gusts upwards of 25 to 30
kts. A band of snow showers is beginning to sink south through
the region this afternoon. Brief reductions to visibility and
ceiling to MVFR or IFR remains possible with the heavier snow
showers. Overall, conditions should remain VFR in lighter snow
showers. A quick dusting of snow may be possible if a heavier
snow shower remains over a terminal for a significant period of
time. OFK is expected to be impacted by snow showers over the
next few hours with OMA following later in the afternoon. Snow
showers should weaken and dissipate this evening. Impacts for
LNK remains low confidence at this time because of this. After
sunset, wind speeds decrease and remain northwesterly with
continued VFR conditions.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Chehak
AVIATION...Chehak

NWS OAX Office Area Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion
NWS Hastings, NE

358
FXUS63 KGID 102151
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
351 PM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Flurries/light snow will remain possible into the late
  afternoon-early evening hours, mainly across portions of south
  central NE. No notable amounts/impacts are expected.

- The start of the new week Sun-Tue remains dry, with warming
  temperatures. Expecting mid-upper 50s by Monday, with low 60s
  for Tuesday.

- Wednesday through the end of the week, a more amplified upper
  level pattern will develop across the CONUS as a couple of
  stronger disturbances dig south out of central Canada into the
  eastern half of the CONUS. Currently not looking at any great
  precipitation chances associated with these systems, but they
  will usher in colder temps (mainly Wed, Fri, and Sat) and
  pushes of gusty NW winds. Models are hinting at the strongest
  winds coming Friday...with at least a small probability of
  gusts over 50 MPH. Will see how models trend in the coming
  days.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 341 PM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

Currently...

What has been a dry day for the forecast area up until now will
be ending for northern portions, as a swath of light snow
continues to creep in from the north. Looking aloft, upper air
and satellite data show an area of low pressure spinning over
the northern MN/WI border, with a trough axis extending SSW
through IA/MO and into OK. A strong upper level jet streak
nosing south on the backside of the main low is helping drive
this activity, and with the lack of moisture to work with, it`s
been on the light side. At the surface, an accompanying cold
front has been swinging through the region, ushering in gusty NW
winds. Most gusts have been in the 25-35 MPH range, but here
has been an occasional gust closer to 40-45 MPH. Between the
increasing cloud cover and cooler air advecting in this
afternoon, temps across the NNErn half of the area have leveled
off/dropped this afternoon (highs will end up being in the upper
30s- low 40s)...further SW still seeing plenty of sun (at least
for a bit longer), has reached into the low 50s.

This evening into Sunday...

The potential for light snow (mainly flurries) will continue to
sink south the rest of this afternoon and early
evening...mainly impacting out south central NE counties. Not
expecting any notable accumulation or impacts from this
activity...which is expected to end mid-late evening (possibly
earlier). The rest of the overnight hours tonight remains dry.
The current gusty winds will taper off tonight, dropping below
10 MPH, turning more westerly with time as a ridge of high
pressure slides east through the area. Cloud cover should also
diminish, especially after midnight...overnight lows are
forecast to drop into the mid teens to low 20s.

Lower amplitude northwesterly flow sets up across the region for
Sunday...with the forecast remaining dry, and partly cloudy to
mostly sunny skies. Winds are lighter than today (closer to
10-15 MPH)...out of the WSW as high pressure settles into
eastern portions of the Srn Plains and a trough of low pressure
extends from the central High Plains up through the Dakotas. The
cooler airmass shifts further east with time...and together
with the WSW winds and more sun, a bump is expected in
temps...with forecast highs still in the mid 40s east to mid 50s
west.

New work week...

Overall, compared to 24 hours ago, there really hasn`t been a
significant changes to the forecast through the new work week.
Models remain in pretty good agreement looking big-picture,
broad...showing the upper level pattern remaining generally
northwesterly, with varying degrees of amplitude with time. The
start of the week continues what starts on Sunday, lower
amplitude flow aloft, with broad troughing over the East Coast
and high pressure just off the CA coast.

Starting roughly Tuesday night and continuing through the end of
the week, models continue to show the potential for a couple
of stronger upper level waves to dig SSE out of central Canada
and into central/eastern portions of the CONUS, driving a much
more amplified pattern across the CONUS as high pressure builds
north along the West Coast. At this point, models continue to
show neither of these systems (roughly Tue night-Wed AM and
again Friday-ish) being notable precipitation makers for the
forecast area...in fact, the forecast for Monday-Saturday
remains largely dry. Better chances for precipitation currently
look to be focused just off to our east...but it`s only
Saturday, still plenty of time to iron out details depending on
model trends.

As far as temperatures go...the start of the week sees the
return of above normal temperatures, with Monday in the mid
50s-near 60 and Tuesday in the low 60s. Normal highs for this
time of year are mid 30s to right around 40. At this point not
anticipating any record highs, but current forecast flirts with
Warm Low Temp records for the 13th (Tuesday)...forecast for both
GRI/HSI is a low of 36, record for both is 35 (set in 2002 for
GRI, 1987 for HSI) From Wednesday on...these upper level waves
will usher in colder air, and especially for Friday, stronger
winds. Wednesday highs fall back into the 40s, and after a brief
warm up Thursday, the next push of colder air drops Fri-Sat
more into the 30s. The timing of the main pushes of NW winds
looks to be Wednesday and again Friday...with ECMWF ensemble
data still showing probabilities of 50 kts/58 MPH around 10-30
percent for a decent portion of our south central NE counties.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1126 AM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

VFR conditions are forecast for this TAF period...model time
heights/guidance show increasing cloud cover this afternoon and
lower ceilings, but are expected to remain VFR. Still looking at
the potential for a swath of flurries/light snow to sink south
out of northern NE through the afternoon, but confidence in any
impact at the terminals is low enough at this point that any
mention was kept out of the TAF...will be watching radar/ob
trends upstream closely. Otherwise the TAF is dry. Expecting
gusty NW through the afternoon, gusts near 30 MPH will be
possible. Winds diminish this evening, with a period of
light/variable after midnight...before turning more
southwesterly during the first half of the day on Sunday.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...ADP
AVIATION...ADP

NWS GID Office Area Forecast Discussion