20°F
Updated:
1/29/2026
02:09:44am
Forecast Discussion
NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
985 FXUS63 KOAX 290804 AFDOAX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE 204 AM CST Thu Jan 29 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Light snow chances (20-50%) move in today through early Friday, with highest accumulations expected to peak around 1 inch in northeast Nebraska. - Colder today through Saturday, with Friday highs in the teens and Saturday morning wind chills from 10 to 20 degrees below zero. - Additional light snow chances (40-60%) return late Saturday into Sunday, followed by a rebound toward near-normal temperatures by Monday. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 158 AM CST Thu Jan 29 2026 Today through Friday... Northeasterly winds ushered cooler air into the region last night, dropping temperatures into the low 20s. A shortwave disturbance sliding southwest of the area this morning could bring us just enough moisture and forcing to produce some light snow. However, there remains quite a bit of dry air for snow to overcome before reaching the surface. Overall snowfall forecast amounts remain relatively unchanged, with a light dusting to 1 inch expected across the majority of the forecast area. Higher amounts of 1-2" will be possible across far northeast Nebraska where the more abundant moisture and a weak frontogenesis band could potentially coincide. Some locations, especially along and east of the Missouri River, may only see a few flurries. Despite the low snow amounts, commuters should be prepared for a few slick spots on untreated surfaces late this morning through the afternoon. A more robust trough will drop south out of the Great Lakes on Friday, as a surface high builds into the northern Plains. This will bring a resurgence of cold air back into the region and gradually shunt moisture farther southwest. Expect flurries and light snow to linger over western portions of the forecast area Thursday night through Friday morning. Tonight, low temperatures are expected to dip into the single digits, with wind chills in the negative single digits and teens. Highs Friday afternoon will only reach the teens above zero, with 5 to 15 mph winds making it feel more like +5 to - 5. Friday night will be even colder, with wind chills bottoming out at -10 to -20. Saturday through Sunday... Temperatures will struggle to recover into the 20s Saturday afternoon, as the trough over the eastern CONUS drifts coast-ward. Another clipper-like system will draw a cold front through the northern Plains this weekend, bringing another chance for light snow Saturday into Sunday (20-40%). The EPS members continue to keep the heavier snow across western Iowa with a handful of members ebbing into northeast Nebraska. The GFS ensemble members remain more unimpressed with the snowfall coverage. Either way, at the moment it looks like any amounts we do get from this system would likely be light, around 1" or less for the majority of the forecast area. For now, will maintain 40-70% PoPs, with the best chances bring Saturday night into early Sunday morning. Temperatures rebound Sunday afternoon, as snowfall exits the area. Highs are currently forecast to reach the mid 30s to low 40s. Monday and Beyond... Mid-level ridging builds back into the region to start the work week, with highs on Monday and Tuesday expected to span the 30s. The next upper level system moving through the middle of the week may bring another chance for light precipitation, with PoPs in the 15- 30% range. Long-range guidance continues to show considerable spread in the track and overall impact of this system, limiting forecast confidence at this time. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/... Issued at 1120 PM CST Wed Jan 28 2026 VFR conditions overnight with winds out of the northeast. Light snow moves into northeast Nebraska Thursday morning around 10Z and continue eastward to KOMA and KLNK by around 12Z. The expanse of the light snow is somewhat in question with potential for the band to initially set up south of KOFK and KOMA (30% chance), keeping snow out until closer to 15-18Z. In either case, once snow arrives, expect reduced vis and cigs. KOFK will see cigs lower to around FL020, while cigs stay up around FL030-FL035 at KOMA and KLNK. Light snow should decrease in coverage around 18Z, but occasional light snow showers will continue through Thursday night leading to brief periods of reduced visibility. Expect primarily MVFR cigs to persist overnight, though some models suggest improvement at KOMA on the northern fringe of the band. && .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...None. IA...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...KG AVIATION...McCoy
NWS OAX Office Area Forecast Discussion
Forecast Discussion
NWS Hastings, NE
356 FXUS63 KGID 290558 AFDGID Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Hastings NE 1158 PM CST Wed Jan 28 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Multiple rounds of light snow possible Thursday-Saturday. Most areas will see less than 1", with northeastern portions of the area having the highest chance to see over 1". - Another frigid morning on Saturday, with temperatures below zero and wind chills in the -10s. - Above normal temperatures Sunday Onwards, with highs in the upper 30s to low 50s. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 221 PM CST Wed Jan 28 2026 This Afternoon/Tonight... Temperatures this afternoon have a large spread from west to east and where heavier snowpack still lingers, ranging from the low 30s (east/snowpack) to the mid 50s (west). Cloud coverage will increase overnight ahead of an approaching shortwave trough. Lows in the teens are expected tonight. Patchy fog is possible across portions of north central Kansas overnight, though dense fog appears unlikely at this time. Thursday Through Saturday... As the shortwave trough moves into the Plains early Thursday morning, it will bring a chance for light snow to the area. Snow is likely to start during the early morning hours for areas north- northeast of the Tri-Cities (Loup City-York). The most widespread snow during the daytime hours on Thursday will be the mid-late morning hours, with snow possible (15-50%) for areas roughly along and northeast of the Tri-Cities. The afternoon-early evening looks to have a relative lull in snow outside of far northern portions of the area. Snow accumulations on Thursday remain light, with most areas seeing less than an inch of snow, though far northeastern portions of the area could see a little over an inch. Highs on Thursday will range from the mid 20s (east) to the low 40s (west). As troughing over the central/eastern deepens, it will bring another round of snow to the area Thursday night-Friday along with a shot of arctic air. A band of snow (20-60% PoPs) will shift from the northeast to the southwest late Thursday night-Friday afternoon, as an arctic high moves into the area. Similar to Thursday, snow accumulations will be light, with most areas seeing less than an inch of snow. Highs on Friday will be in the teens to 20s, warmest across southwestern portions of the area. Skies clear and winds become light Friday night-Saturday morning under the influence of the arctic airmass/high. This will allow temperatures to drop below zero (forecast lows -4 to -8), resulting in a frigid start to the day on Saturday. Wind chill values will sink into the negative teens, though light winds should limit how low wind chills are able to get. After sunrise, southerly flow strengthens over the area on Saturday ahead of the next shortwave trough, with highs in the 20s. The next chance (15-45%) for light snow arrives Saturday evening/night as a clipper system moves into the plains. Similar to Thursday/Friday any snow accumulations will be under an inch. Sunday Onwards... Temperatures climb near to above normal Sunday onwards as upper level ridging builds over the Rockies/Plains. Highs will be in the upper 30s to low 50s with lows in the 10s/20s. A passing disturbance within the broader ridging pattern looks to bring another chance for light precipitation around the end of the forecast period, though there remains a fair amount of model spread on the finer details. Looking past the forecast period, the CPC 6-10 and 8-14 day forecasts favor above normal temperatures and below normal precipitation. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/... Issued at 1134 PM CST Wed Jan 28 2026 For KGRI/KEAR Airports: VFR conditions will likely retain through at least 12z for KGRI and at least 14z for KEAR. MVFR ceilings/conditions will stick around for a majority of the time for the rest of the day/night (60-80%), eventually becoming IFR conditions closer to 4z. Light snow will be possible in and out across the afternoon and evening hours, though accumulations will not be expected to exceed 1". Winds will remain light and variable through the period. && .GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...None. KS...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Davis AVIATION...Stump
Navigation
