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SPC MD 1412

MD 1412 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR NORTH TEXAS
        
MD 1412 Image

Mesoscale Discussion 1412
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0751 PM CDT Sun Jul 23 2017

Areas affected...North Texas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 240051Z - 240245Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated strong to severe wind gusts are possible this
evening across North Texas.

DISCUSSION...Several areas of storms have produced outflow
boundaries across the region, but the area across North Texas
including the Metroplex, remains in a pocket of strong instability
as seen on 00Z FWD sounding. The strongest outflow surge is
currently approaching the Red River from the north, and may be a
focus for new development farther south. Already, a few vigorous
updrafts were initiating across parts of northwest Texas, where
temperatures were near 100 F. 

Further, several of the latest CAMs show scattered storms developing
in this area. While likely a disorganized multicell threat, a few
strong to severe wind gusts are possible with any new activity this
evening.

..Jewell/Weiss.. 07/24/2017

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...

LAT...LON   32239704 32289753 32369784 32909854 33169898 33859923
            34099897 34169854 33809795 33509736 33459668 33389635
            33169617 32659610 32269627 32239704 

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