SPC - No watches are valid as of Fri Sep 25 00:55:02 UTC 2026

No watches are valid as of Fri Sep 25 00:55:02 UTC 2026.

SPC - No MDs are in effect as of Fri Sep 25 00:55:02 UTC 2026

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Fri Sep 25 00:55:02 UTC 2026.

SPC Sep 25, 2026 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
      
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0748 PM CDT Thu Sep 24 2026

Valid 250100Z - 251200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING
OVER PARTS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE...

...SUMMARY...
An isolated severe storm or two remains possible in the Texas
Panhandle this evening.

...TX Panhandle...
Multiple clusters of strong thunderstorms that affected parts of the
central High Plains have begun to weakening as diurnal cooling
commences.  Nevertheless, a locally severe wind gust remains
possible for another 1-2 hours over parts of the TX Panhandle, where
relatively steep low-level lapse rates and sufficient CAPE are
present. 

Elsewhere, scattered thunderstorms will be possible this evening and
into the night across parts of the Southwest states and southern
Rockies, and over deep south TX.  Severe storms are not anticipated
in these areas.

..Hart.. 09/25/2026


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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
          
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0415 PM CDT Thu Sep 24 2026

Valid 261200Z - 021200Z

...Discussion...
A coastal low will continue to strengthen just off the Mid-Atlantic
coast, bringing gusty surface winds and precipitation chances across
New England this weekend. Meanwhile, an upper shortwave trough will
lift out of the Northern Rockies and into the Canadian Prairies.
Upper winds will moderate slightly on Day 3/Saturday, though an
emerging 30-40 kt 700 mb jet will maintain dry and breezy conditions
across portions of the Great Basin through Day 4/Sunday. The
expected overlap of sustained southerly 15-20 mph winds and near 15%
RH would typically increase fire weather concerns, but such
meteorological conditions will overlap a region of marginal fuels;
thus, precluding Critical probabilities at this time. 

Predictability wanes into early next week with ambiguity in the
progression of the overall pattern; however, the development of
deeper troughing over the western CONUS may induce an offshore flow
regime in Southern California on Days 5-6/Monday-Tuesday.
Additionally, some tropical influence from Hurricane Polo could
bring increased moisture to the southwestern CONUS early next week.

..Elizalde-Garcia.. 09/24/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...


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