Forecast Discussion
NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

465
FXUS63 KOAX 090833
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
233 AM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Cold today into Monday morning when wind chills could approach
  zero in northeast Nebraska.

- Gradual warming is expected this week, with highs rebounding
  into the 50s and 60s. Some 70s are even possible on Friday and
  Saturday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 233 AM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

Today and Tonight:

Within an amplifying mid-level trough from the Great Lakes into
the mid-MS Valley, early morning water imagery shows an embedded
vorticity maximum progressing south through the northern Plains
and upper-MS Valley. That feature will continue south through
the mid-MO Valley today with a few flurries remaining possible
this morning in far eastern NE and western IA. By this afternoon,
clouds will diminish as subsidence on the backside of the
passing disturbance overspreads the area. Despite the increasing
sunshine, it will be cold with highs in the upper 20s to mid
30s. Blustery, north winds will continue through much of the day
before diminishing by this evening.

Tonight, surface high pressure will pass to the immediate west
of the area with the decreasing clouds and winds enhancing
radiational cooling potential. As such, this forecast update has
trended toward the low side of model guidance on overnight lows,
ranging from the single digits to around 17. Wind chills could
approach zero in parts of northeast NE with single digits above
zero elsewhere.


Monday through Saturday:

A rather uneventful, but warmer weather pattern is expected
through much of the upcoming week. An amplified mid-level ridge
currently positioned along the West Coast will gradually build
east into the central U.S. by the end of the workweek, ahead of
a trough moving into the Interior West. The prevailing northwest
flow aloft will encourage a dry and warmer surface pattern
through Friday. We could see a day or two of high fire danger in
northeast NE; however, there is currently no model signal for a
period of stronger winds that would enhance a wildfire risk.

By next weekend, the 12z global models indicate the above-
mentioned trough potentially moving into the Great Plains.
However, there is considerable model variability in the handling
of that system.

Highs in the 30s and 40s on Monday are forecast to warm into the
50 and 60s from Tuesday through Thursday with some 70s even
possible by Friday and Saturday.


&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1020 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025

MVFR conditions persist at the terminals through the evening and
overnight hours, improving to VFR between 17-20Z. A few flurries
or very light snow show showers may be possible in the vicinity
of KOMA and KLNK for a few more hours, tapering off later
tonight. Breezy north winds continue through the period at
14-19kts with gusts as high as 25kts.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Mead
AVIATION...ANW

NWS OAX Office Area Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion
NWS Hastings, NE

309
FXUS63 KGID 091035
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
435 AM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A breezy and cold start to the day with wind chills ranging
  from 5 to 15 degrees through the morning hours. As winds
  diminish this evening, the coldest lows of the season (single
  digits to teens) are anticipated for Monday morning.

- After a modest warm-up on Monday, unseasonably warm
  temperatures return Tuesday afternoon and will continue
  through the end of the week. Several days of highs in the 60s
  to near 70 are expected Tue-Sat.

- Dry weather is anticipated all week with the next (small)
  chance for some light rain anticipated by Saturday night or
  Sunday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 408 AM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

Skies are clearing across the local area early this morning,
although some mid/high level clouds upstream of the region
should move across south central Nebraska and north central
Kansas through the morning hours. Once this cloud cover clears,
a mostly sunny (and chilly) afternoon is in store for the
region as cold air advection continues in northerly flow. In
addition to the cold temperatures, winds will likely remain
breezy through the afternoon hours ahead of an area of surface
high pressure that is forecast to settle across the area from
the north overnight tonight. This high will bring very light
winds to the region tonight, which combined with clear skies,
will allow temperatures to tank by early Monday morning.
Adjusted lows down for tonight, with many models indicating
temperatures could fall into the single digits across our
typically coolest spots, with widespread teens expected across
the remainder of the area.

As the surface ridge pushes southeast on Monday, southerly
return flow will help moderate temperatures across the area,
although Monday will still likely be on the cooler side, with
most areas not breaking out of the 40s. This should be the last
cold day for a while, however, as high pressure aloft then
shifts into the plains, steering subsequent upper level
disturbances well north and east of the local area and allows
temperatures to rebound into the 60s and 70s for the remainder
of the week.

Models begin to diverge next weekend with the handling of a
west coast trough/low, with the GFS looking much more favorable
for some precip returning over the weekend and the EC taking an
upper level low south of the area. Still plenty of time of
hammer out details for next weekend, but given a sizable number
of ensemble members of both the EC and GFS bring some precip
back to the area, slightly cooler temperatures and at least a
small chance for precip should return for at least the latter
half of next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1107 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

MVFR ceilings will persist through 09-10z before
clearing/becoming VFR. Added a tempo group at KGRI/KEAR as
there could be a back and forth between MVFR and VFR before
ultimately becoming VFR. Skies become clear by the mid morning
hours, with clear skies persisting through sunset. North-
northwest winds of 10-15kts, gusting 20-25kts are expected
through sunset on Sunday. After sunset winds become light as
gusts fall below 15kts.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Rossi
AVIATION...Davis

NWS GID Office Area Forecast Discussion