Forecast Discussion
NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

546
FXUS63 KOAX 081954
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
154 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Scattered rain and snow showers (20-40% chance) are expected
  this evening. Little to no accumulation is expected, though a
  brief burst of rain/snow is possible.

- Significantly colder tonight through Monday, with lows in the
  teens and 20s and highs in the 30s. Morning wind chills may
  dip into the single digits.

- Gradual warming is expected next week, with highs rebounding
  into the 50s and 60s.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 151 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025

Tonight through Monday...

Objective analysis this afternoon reveals large-scale mid- to upper-
level troughing across much of the central and eastern CONUS.
Locally, a potent shortwave trough continues to dig into the mid-MO
Valley. At the surface, a primary low has shifted into northwest MO,
with an attendant cold front advancing southward across the central
Plains. The main frontogenetic/deformation band has pulled east into
central IA, taking with it the primary precipitation shield
responsible for the morning`s precipitation. Most of the area
received light precipitation (under 0.10"), though a quick an
efficient band of snow earlier this morning produced up to 2" across
portions of northeast NE and west-central IA, with locally higher
amounts to our north and east.

A brief period of clearing has pivoted across the area early this
afternoon. allowing temperatures to rise into the low to mid-40s for
most area, while northern counties remain in the mid-30s. North-
northwesterly winds continues to gust up to 30-40 mph. Additional
isolated to scattered showers (PoPs 20-40%) are expected through the
afternoon and evening as the main vorticity maximum pivots overhead.
Precipitation type will be a mixed bag once again, with mainly rain
transitioning to light snow from north to south as low-level
CAA strengthens. Showers will remain transient with minimal
coverage, so little to no accumulation is expected, though a
brief rain/snow burst cannot be ruled out. The primary impact
will be brief drops in visibility and slick roads under any snow
showers that do move into the area. Activity will taper off
from north to south through the evening hours.

Temperatures will fall quickly tonight under strong CAA, with lows
dipping into the teens and lower 20s. Persistent gusty winds will
result in wild chills ranging from the single digits to about 12
degrees. Sunday will mark the coldest day of the week, with highs
only peaking in the 30s, roughly 15-20 degrees below seasonal
averages. Northerly winds gusting at 20-25 mph will keep apparent
temperatures in the 20s through much of the day.

By Monday, an amplifying mid- to upper-level trough centered over
the Great Lakes region will maintain meridional flow aloft locally,
while ridging builds across the western CONUS. Another frigid
morning is expected to start the workweek, with lows in the teens
and wind chills again in the single digits to near 12 degrees.
Afternoon highs will moderate slightly into the upper 30s to
mid-40s.

Tuesday and Beyond...

From Tuesday through the end of the work week, mid- to upper-level
ridging will build into the central Plains, resulting in
predominantly zonal to northwesterly flow aloft. This pattern shift
will support a gradual moderation in temperatures through the week.
Highs are expected to range from the upper 50s to upper 60s, with
overnight lows generally in the mid-30s to mid-40s. At this time, no
notable precipitation chances are expected, though, a weak shortwave
disturbance could bring low-end chances later in the week.

Looking ahead, the CPC`s 8-14 day outlook favors above-normal
temperatures (60-70% chance) across the region, with precipitation
amounts also leaning above average (40-50% probability).

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1057 AM CST Sat Nov 8 2025

MVFR to IFR conditions prevail late this morning as an arc of
precipitation pushes east across eastern Nebraska. Precipitation
type remains snow in northeast Nebraska, transiting to rain by
east-central Nebraska. The main precipitation shield is expected
to push east of the TAF sites by 08/18Z. Though a brief period
of VFR conditions is possible as the precipitation shield
exits, MVFR to IFR conditions will continue through much of the
evening. North-northwesterly winds will continue at 12-18 kts,
with gusts up to 30 kts possible.

Additional scattered showers are expected to push south this
afternoon/early evening. Precipitation type remains in question
with these showers, with rain showers likely, though a rain/snow
mix is possible at KOFK and KOMA. Behind the departing showers,
ceilings will improve to VFR tonight into early Sunday morning.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Wood
AVIATION...Wood

NWS OAX Office Area Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion
NWS Hastings, NE

304
FXUS63 KGID 082120
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
320 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Gusty northwest winds of 30 to 45 mph will continue through
  this evening along with scattered rain showers. A few snow
  flakes could even mix in after sunset (Nebraska zones), but no
  snow accumulation expected.

- Coldest air of the season will filter into the region over the
  next 36 hours. Low temperatures tonight behind the departing
  storm system will only be in the lower 20s Nebraska to the mid
  20s Kansas. Highs on Sunday will struggle into the upper 30s
  in the Tri- Cities with Sunday night lows in the mid teens.

- Unseasonably warm temperatures return by Tuesday and continue
  much of next week. Several days of highs in the 60s to near 70
  are expected Tue-Sat.

- Dry conditions are likely after tonight through the next 7+
  days.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 218 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025

Today into Tonight...

A strong cold front has swept through the area and the post
frontal northwest winds will remain particularly gusty (35-45
mph)until around sunset, when they will gradually begin to
decrease. Wind gusts could still be over 25 mph until around
midnight.

We had one cluster of rain showers move through the Grand
Island/Hastings area earlier this afternoon and at 3 PM was from
York to Hebron. There is less activity on radar behind these
initial showers, but with some sunshine we could see additional
convectively driven rain showers develop mainly north of I-80
over the next several hours. The 18Z HRRR indicates that a few
rain showers could turn over to snow around or after sunset
before ending as colder air filters in.


Sunday into Monday...

Northwest winds continue to bring in the colder air, but at
least the wind will not be as gusty as today and we expect clear
skies by afternoon. Still it will not feel pleasant with highs
only in the mid to upper 30s Nebraska to lower 40s over north
central Kansas. Sunday afternoon wind chill values never get
above 30 degrees in the Tri-Cities. Pipe freezing mid teens are
expected for low temperatures Sunday night, if you still have
outdoor plumbing turned on you might want to take care of that.

Monday will be the beginning of the warmup with clear skies and
warmer southerly winds. Highs back into the 40s.


Tuesday through Saturday...

An upper level ridge will develop over the western United States
and gradually slide east into our area as we head through the
period resulting in above normal temperatures and dry
conditions. The next storm system will likely be a cut off low
over the desert southwest that could eject into the high plains
as early as Sunday, but too early to tell if it will focus its
rain on the southern plains or the central plains.


&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1143 AM CST Sat Nov 8 2025

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

The northwest winds are beginning to ramp up as expected this
morning and will peak around mid afternoon with some gusts to
around 40 mph before winds gradually begin to decrease after
sunset, but it will only be a gradual decrease and it will
remain breezy through the night. Can not rule out a few hours of
MVFR ceilings tonight, but VFR ceilings are most likely and will
only call for scattered MVFR clouds tonight at this time. The
wind direction will shift from west northwest early this
afternoon to north northwest by tonight.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Wesely
AVIATION...Wesely

NWS GID Office Area Forecast Discussion