Forecast Discussion
NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

133
FXUS63 KOAX 292323
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
523 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Snowfall will continue to taper off through Saturday
  afternoon. However, north winds gusting up to 30 to 40 mph
  will lead to areas of blowing and drifting snow through this
  evening.

- A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect through this
  evening. Travel will be difficult at times due to the potential
  for blowing snow.

- Well below normal temperatures will continue through the
  middle of next week. Monday will bring another chance for a
  few snow showers.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 156 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

Tonight through Sunday...

A potent winter storm system continued to make it`s way across
eastern Nebraska and western Iowa today, leaving several inches of
snow and gusty north winds in its wake. Moderate snowfall tapered
off from west to east early this afternoon. By 2 pm, snowfall
reports ranged from 1 inch in far southeast Nebraska to 4 to 7
inches along and east of the Missouri River. Northwest winds
increased to 15 to 25 mph this afternoon, with gusts up to 25-40 mph
on the western edge of the surface low. Patchy blowing and drifting
snow can be expected until winds diminish after midnight tonight.

Icy patches on roads will linger overnight, as temperatures bottom
out in the single digits. The combination of cold temperatures and
gusty north winds will bring the apparent temperature as low as 1 to
10 degrees below zero by early Sunday morning. Bitterly cold air
will continue to infiltrate the Central Plains during the day
tomorrow. High temperatures will struggle to reach the teens and low
20s Sunday afternoon, which is about 25 degrees below normal for
highs this time of year, and even around 5 to 10 degrees colder than
the average lows for early December. While a transient ridge of high
pressure may not keep us warm tomorrow, it will keep us dry through
the remainder of the holiday weekend.

Monday and Tuesday...

A quick hitting mid-level trough will dip into the region Monday,
bringing a another burst of light snow. Amounts currently look to
range from 1" to 3", mainly south of the Platte River, with the
highest amounts near the Nebraska/Kansas border. Winds will be
considerably lighter than today`s system, with speeds maxing out at
5-15 mph, limiting issues with blowing snow.

Well below normal temperatures will linger into next week. Monday
and Tuesday morning lows will fall into the teens and single digits
above 0. So be sure to throw a hat and gloves on your kids before
sending them out to the bus stop. Afternoon highs will top out in
the 20s on Monday, before warming slightly, into the upper 20s and
low 30s Tuesday.

Tuesday Night and Beyond...

A cold front will swing through the region Tuesday night and
Wednesday, bringing a smattering of snow and another surge of polar
air through the Central Plains. Temperatures will dip back to the
20s Wednesday and Thursday. Thursday morning could be especially
chilly, with lows currently forecast to drop below 0, and wind
chills in the negative teens across portions of northeast Nebraska
and western Iowa.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 519 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

Snow is being reported at fewer locations across the area this
evening as the system continues east. Have removed precip
mentions at KOFK and KLNK, kept blowing snow at KOMA until
midnight. Strong northwesterly winds will continue with gusts up
to 30 knots.

Mostly expecting MVFR cigs with the occasional VFR break
expected, especially at KOFK. Confidence in the low cigs
remaining through the TAF period is not super high with some
guidance suggesting they break around sunrise or just prior.
Have leaned on the conservative guidance and kept MVFR cigs
through the day at LNK and OMA as northwest winds continue at
about ten knots.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...Winter Weather Advisory until midnight CST tonight for NEZ011-
     012-015>018-030>034-042>045-050>053-065>068-078-088>093.
IA...Winter Weather Advisory until midnight CST tonight for IAZ043-
     055-056-069-079-080-090-091.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...KG
AVIATION...Nicolaisen

NWS OAX Office Area Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion
NWS Hastings, NE

440
FXUS63 KGID 292340
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
540 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Gusty winds will continue through the evening hours with
  patchy blowing snow...flurries this afternoon...and cold
  temperatures/wind chills tonight.

- Next round of light snow moves across the area late Sunday
  night through midday Monday with 1 to 2" type accumulations.

- Dry weather the rest of the week with temperatures on the
  cooler side but maybe some moderation toward next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 110 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

The area is living through the after effects of the most recent
system which dropped 1 to 2" of snow for most locations on top
of a light glaze for some areas. The main really short term
issue the winds gusting to 45-50 mph causing some blowing snow
and then some flurries that developed in the instability of the
day. NO additional accumulation is expected, but visibilities
may be down to 2 miles at times the next few hours.

Obviously its cold out there with wind chills near 10 above.
The wind won`t really drop off...at least higher end gusts...
till about 8-11 pm for most areas and then remain slightly
gusty overnight. That will push wind chills below zero to make
it feel like the coldest night of the season. Not much warm up
tomorrow as temperatures can only climb into the lower and
middle 20s with clouds spilling into the area. Windspeeds will
be much lower as surface high pressure ridging moves across the
area and turns winds to the south by evening.

The next precipitation event...all light snow...remains on
track for overnight Sunday until about Noon Monday. Models
remains consistent in general timing and snow amounts (light)
but do vary a bit in place at this point. Speaking of amounts,
high snow ratios of 15 or 18 to 1 will promote a light fluffy
(not stuffy) snow which could add up 2" in some areas pretty
easy. As of now, those higher amounts are forecast across north
central Kansas and far southern Nebraska with amounts tapering
off to the north to less than an inch, but this could waver
north or south a bit with future forecasts. One key positive is
winds will be fairly light so little to no blowing snow is
expected. Also of note is the timing, centered on the Monday
morning commute. The snow is light but will likely slow things
down getting to-and-fro during the morning hours Monday.

Clearing will move in late the day Monday and with light winds,
good radiational cooling will push Monday lows into the single
digits for many locations.

After Monday, the rest of the forecast is dry, though there are
some hints at very light precipitation potential (trace type
events) Friday and Saturday thanks to the region still impacted
by cyclonic flow aloft. However, those events are so light and
so far out, neither are in the forecast at this point. That also
spells colder than normal temperatures most of the week though
with some moderation by the end of the week closer to normal.
Wednesday will be coldest day with a frontal passage and a
period of slightly stronger northwest winds.

Looking just beyond this forecast cycle, ensembles and weekly models
suggest the potential for a more substantial warm up beginning
around the 10th to 13th. If it materializes,the warm-up would
push mid-month temperatures above normal for a time. However
looking beyond that, the end of December shows a colder than
normal temperature trend. Overall, it appears this December
will be colder than December`s in recent years, be a bit more
"up-and-down" temperature wise.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 533 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

Ceilings will generally range from MVFR to low end VFR. Winds
will decrease out of the northwest by 06z. Winds will be out of
the north by 18z then out of the east to southeast by 00z
Monday.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Moritz
AVIATION...Schuldt

NWS GID Office Area Forecast Discussion