28°F
Updated:
11/9/2025
04:46:55am
Forecast Discussion
NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
465 FXUS63 KOAX 090833 AFDOAX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE 233 AM CST Sun Nov 9 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Cold today into Monday morning when wind chills could approach zero in northeast Nebraska. - Gradual warming is expected this week, with highs rebounding into the 50s and 60s. Some 70s are even possible on Friday and Saturday. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 233 AM CST Sun Nov 9 2025 Today and Tonight: Within an amplifying mid-level trough from the Great Lakes into the mid-MS Valley, early morning water imagery shows an embedded vorticity maximum progressing south through the northern Plains and upper-MS Valley. That feature will continue south through the mid-MO Valley today with a few flurries remaining possible this morning in far eastern NE and western IA. By this afternoon, clouds will diminish as subsidence on the backside of the passing disturbance overspreads the area. Despite the increasing sunshine, it will be cold with highs in the upper 20s to mid 30s. Blustery, north winds will continue through much of the day before diminishing by this evening. Tonight, surface high pressure will pass to the immediate west of the area with the decreasing clouds and winds enhancing radiational cooling potential. As such, this forecast update has trended toward the low side of model guidance on overnight lows, ranging from the single digits to around 17. Wind chills could approach zero in parts of northeast NE with single digits above zero elsewhere. Monday through Saturday: A rather uneventful, but warmer weather pattern is expected through much of the upcoming week. An amplified mid-level ridge currently positioned along the West Coast will gradually build east into the central U.S. by the end of the workweek, ahead of a trough moving into the Interior West. The prevailing northwest flow aloft will encourage a dry and warmer surface pattern through Friday. We could see a day or two of high fire danger in northeast NE; however, there is currently no model signal for a period of stronger winds that would enhance a wildfire risk. By next weekend, the 12z global models indicate the above- mentioned trough potentially moving into the Great Plains. However, there is considerable model variability in the handling of that system. Highs in the 30s and 40s on Monday are forecast to warm into the 50 and 60s from Tuesday through Thursday with some 70s even possible by Friday and Saturday. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/... Issued at 1020 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025 MVFR conditions persist at the terminals through the evening and overnight hours, improving to VFR between 17-20Z. A few flurries or very light snow show showers may be possible in the vicinity of KOMA and KLNK for a few more hours, tapering off later tonight. Breezy north winds continue through the period at 14-19kts with gusts as high as 25kts. && .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...None. IA...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Mead AVIATION...ANW
NWS OAX Office Area Forecast Discussion
Forecast Discussion
NWS Hastings, NE
309 FXUS63 KGID 091035 AFDGID Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Hastings NE 435 AM CST Sun Nov 9 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - A breezy and cold start to the day with wind chills ranging from 5 to 15 degrees through the morning hours. As winds diminish this evening, the coldest lows of the season (single digits to teens) are anticipated for Monday morning. - After a modest warm-up on Monday, unseasonably warm temperatures return Tuesday afternoon and will continue through the end of the week. Several days of highs in the 60s to near 70 are expected Tue-Sat. - Dry weather is anticipated all week with the next (small) chance for some light rain anticipated by Saturday night or Sunday. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 408 AM CST Sun Nov 9 2025 Skies are clearing across the local area early this morning, although some mid/high level clouds upstream of the region should move across south central Nebraska and north central Kansas through the morning hours. Once this cloud cover clears, a mostly sunny (and chilly) afternoon is in store for the region as cold air advection continues in northerly flow. In addition to the cold temperatures, winds will likely remain breezy through the afternoon hours ahead of an area of surface high pressure that is forecast to settle across the area from the north overnight tonight. This high will bring very light winds to the region tonight, which combined with clear skies, will allow temperatures to tank by early Monday morning. Adjusted lows down for tonight, with many models indicating temperatures could fall into the single digits across our typically coolest spots, with widespread teens expected across the remainder of the area. As the surface ridge pushes southeast on Monday, southerly return flow will help moderate temperatures across the area, although Monday will still likely be on the cooler side, with most areas not breaking out of the 40s. This should be the last cold day for a while, however, as high pressure aloft then shifts into the plains, steering subsequent upper level disturbances well north and east of the local area and allows temperatures to rebound into the 60s and 70s for the remainder of the week. Models begin to diverge next weekend with the handling of a west coast trough/low, with the GFS looking much more favorable for some precip returning over the weekend and the EC taking an upper level low south of the area. Still plenty of time of hammer out details for next weekend, but given a sizable number of ensemble members of both the EC and GFS bring some precip back to the area, slightly cooler temperatures and at least a small chance for precip should return for at least the latter half of next weekend. && .AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/... Issued at 1107 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025 For KGRI/KEAR Airports: MVFR ceilings will persist through 09-10z before clearing/becoming VFR. Added a tempo group at KGRI/KEAR as there could be a back and forth between MVFR and VFR before ultimately becoming VFR. Skies become clear by the mid morning hours, with clear skies persisting through sunset. North- northwest winds of 10-15kts, gusting 20-25kts are expected through sunset on Sunday. After sunset winds become light as gusts fall below 15kts. && .GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...None. KS...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Rossi AVIATION...Davis
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