Forecast Discussion
NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

816
FXUS63 KOAX 110506
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
1206 AM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Patchy dense fog is expected over parts of the area Saturday
  morning.

- Stretch of hot and dry weather starts Saturday into much of
  next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1116 PM CDT Fri Jul 10 2026

A few weak storms bubbled up along a boundary in far southwest Iowa
and southeast Nebraska Friday evening. Enhanced stretching potential
allowed a couple of funnel clouds to sneak into view before storms
dissipated shortly after sunset.

Quiet conditions will likely continue overnight with light and
variable winds and clearing skies. With these conditions comes the
potential for patchy fog to develop. The best chance for fog will
lie primarily along and east of the Missouri River, however some
lower visibilities could sneak into eastern Nebraska by early
Saturday morning.

Any lingering patchy fog should dissipate shortly after sunrise,
with warm and mostly sunny conditions prevailing through the day.
Highs Saturday afternoon are forecast to range from the mid 80s over
southeast Nebraska/southwest Iowa to the low 90s in northeast
Nebraska.

High pressure will continue to build over the west-central CONUS
this weekend and through the first half of next week. For those of
us in the Central Plains, this means that hot and dry weather will
continue. Look for afternoon highs to continue to climb through the
upper 80s and into the 90s over the coming week.

Luckily, model solutions indicate most of the Gulf moisture will
remain well to the south of the forecast area, limiting excessively
humid conditions. However, expect dewpoints are at least slightly
underdone without taking into account the effects of "corn sweat"
during this time of year. For now, expect heat indicies in the upper
90s likely creeping into the low 100s for at least a day or 2, by
middle to late next week.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1159 PM CDT Fri Jul 10 2026

VFR conditions start the period under mostly clear skies. Winds
remain light and variable across the region. Fog is expected to
develop across southeast Nebraska, east-central Nebraska, and
southwest Iowa tonight. Fog may be patchy initially, before
becoming more widespread after 10Z, and lasting until shortly
after sunrise by around 14Z. This fog may be dense at times.
Currently, MVFR visibility with fog is forecast at LNK and OMA
with the potential for IFR visibility. Confidence is low (25%)
on IFR to lIFR visibility restrictions at area terminals at this
time. OFK should remain north of the expected fog. Fog clears
by Saturday afternoon with light east to southeast winds and a
cumulus deck around FL060.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...KG
AVIATION...Chehak

NWS OAX Office Area Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion
NWS Hastings, NE

392
FXUS63 KGID 110611
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
111 AM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Fog is expected to develop overnight across portions of the
  area. There is uncertainty as to how widespread or dense it
  will become.

- No rain or storms are expected today through Friday.

- High temperatures will gradually warm through Friday.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 109 AM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

The main feature of significance in this forecast is the potential
for fog development overnight into the morning hours. Some locations
are already reporting reduced visibility. The factors supporting fog
development are recent rainfall and light winds. There is some
higher level cloud moving over portions of the area which may hinder
fog development a bit. Winds are expected to be variable which may
help or hinder fog development depending on wind direction.
Conditions will be monitored in case if the fog becomes dense and
widespread enough for an advisory to be issued. Otherwise, low
temperatures overnight are expected to range from the upper 50s to
the mid 60s. Sunny to mostly sunny skies are expected today with
high temperatures in the mid/upper 80s to low 90s. Winds during the
afternoon will mostly be out of the southeast generally between 5 to
10 MPH with gusts up to around 15 MPH across western portions of the
area. Low temperatures tonight will mostly be in the mid 60s with
light south to east winds.

No showers or storms are expected through the end of the forecast
(today through Friday). High temperatures will be on a very gradual
warming trend through Friday with highs on Friday in the mid 90s to
near 100 degrees. Low temperatures will generally be in the 60s each
night through Tuesday night/Wednesday morning then will warm up into
mainly the 70s Thursday night and Friday night.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 202 PM CDT Fri Jul 10 2026

Today and Tonight

The showers/thunderstorms from this morning are continually
weakening and moving eastward out of the area this morning/early
afternoon, as the remnants of a mesoscale convective vortex (MCV)
looses its upper level support. Some midlevel cloud cover will
linger through the afternoon across most of the area as the
shortwave trough aloft takes its sweet time moving east and
upper level divergence remains. Due to this limited solar
radiation reaching the surface, high temperatures today will
remain cool for July`s standards, with highs generally in the
mid 80s.

This Weekend into Next Week

After today, a high amplitude ridge will build across the central
CONUS, with 500mb heights between 570-600dm reaching up to the
US/Canada border. This will allow for dry conditions and
temperatures to steadily increase up into the 90s by Monday. Heat
index values remain in the low to mid 90s through most of next week,
as low-level moisture flow from the Gulf looks to be more limited.
In fact, there is a low chance (up to 20%) that heat index values
exceed 95 degrees through Wednesday.

Precipitation chances remain grim through the end of the forecast
period, with the next best chance next weekend. However, there is a
fair amount of uncertainty in the overarching synoptic pattern, with
some model guidance suggesting the penetration of a digging trough
(supporting a possible break from the heat and a chance for
preciptiation) while other model guidance maintains the upper level
ridge (supporting continued warming temperatures and a greater
potential for extreme heat).

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1213 AM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

The potential for fog has increased for tonight (60-90%) with
visibility just east of the area now beginning to drop. A bank
of fog is expected to thicken tonight, spreading up the Platte River
Valley. Visibility as low as 1/2 to 3 miles may be possible
between 7z and 14z. Slightly lower visibilities and longer fog
residence times will be expected at KGRI compared to KEAR (the
better overall fog potential will be concentrated east).

Otherwise, VFR conditions will be expected to maintain after 14z
with only a few to clear sky conditions. Winds will remain
light across the full period (gusts less than 15kts) with almost
calm and variable winds retaining through the morning hours.
Light winds in the afternoon and evening on Saturday (5-10kts)
will see directions settle out of the southeast.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...Schuldt
DISCUSSION...Scott
AVIATION...Stump

NWS GID Office Area Forecast Discussion