Forecast Discussion
NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

620
FXUS63 KOAX 060503
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
1203 AM CDT Mon Apr 6 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A rain-snow mix is possible (30-50% PoPs) into Monday morning
  across portions of northeast Nebraska into west-central Iowa
  with little to no accumulation expected.

- Rain is expected to mix with and then change over to all snow
  across portions of eastern Nebraska and southwest Iowa Monday
  night into Tuesday morning. Some 1-3" accumulations appear
  possible with a 40-60% chance of slippery roads during the
  Tuesday morning commute.

- An active weather pattern will lead to continued shower and
  storm chances from Wednesday into the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1048 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

It was a quiet and fairly pleasant evening across the area with
temperatures as of 10 PM still hanging in the mid 40s to mid
50s. However, a cold front was starting to push in from the
north and will keep highs in the mid 40s to mid 50s across most
of the area on Monday.

Behind the front, we`ll see a couple chances for rain and snow
and perhaps even enough snow for some slick roads. The first
chances arrive after midnight across northeast NE and west-
central into southwest IA as low to mid level frontogenesis
strengthens. Model soundings continue to show only transient
saturation with surface temperatures hovering on either side of
freezing. As a result, expect a mix of rain and snow and any
snow that does fall will be very light and have a tough time
sticking. Maybe a few spots see a couple tenths of an inch,
mainly on grassy and elevated surfaces.

A few showers may linger into the afternoon with a brief break
in precip for late afternoon/early evening. However, low to mid
level frontogenesis will ramp back up a little farther south by
Monday night, with warm air advection further contributing to
forcing for ascent. As a result, expect a heavier precipitation
band to set up, with rain to start and snow mixing in and
eventually becoming the predominant precip type overnight into
Tuesday morning. Models continue to trend upward on snowfall
amounts with ensembles suggesting a 60-90% chance of at least 1"
in the center of the band and a 30-40% chance of at least 3".
That said, there remains quite a bit of spread in exactly where
that band will set up with solutions ranging from along a
Norfolk to Atlantic line (keeping it largely north of Omaha) to
along a Columbus to Nebraska City line (keeping it largely south
of Omaha, but impacting Lincoln) and everywhere in between.
We`ll keep a close eye on how things trend, but expect a band of
at least 1-3" about the width of 2-3 counties from Monday night
into Tuesday morning. Wherever it does fall, expect slick roads
and a slow Tuesday morning commute. The good news is
temperatures on Tuesday should top out in the 40s and 50s, so it
should melt quickly.

For Tuesday night into Wednesday, guidance is still in good
agreement that a cutoff low will move along the Canadian border
with a secondary low moving along the NE/SD border. A surface
warm front will advance northward through the area into
Wednesday morning with the warm air advection and moisture
transport keeping some showers going Tuesday evening before the
exit to the northeast. The lows will then help to drag a cold
front through the area sometime Wednesday afternoon/evening with
shower and storm development expected in its vicinity. Ahead of
the front, southwesterly winds could gust upwards of 30 mph and
lead to some increased fire danger, pending precip, though
winds are progged to weaken as the driest air moves in behind
the cold front.

The front looks to stall in or southeast of our area while
several bits of shortwave energy eject out of an incoming trough
off the west coast. This will lead to continued shower and
storm chances Thursday through the weekend with consensus
showing basically a standing 40-70% chance each day.
Temperatures Thursday and Friday should top out in the mid 50s
to mid 60s before the front looks to advance back northward and
we see 60s and 70s for the weekend. There may also be some
severe weather chances at times with various machine learning
guidance showing at least a 5% chance Friday through Sunday,
though obviously still lots of details to work out between now
and then.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1141 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

VFR conditions are expected to persist through the majority of
the period. Light rain/snow will be possible across northeast
Nebraska into western Iowa this morning into the early
afternoon. A few model solutions have light precipitation
pushing into the KOFK area just after 12Z, with off and on
showers possible through 18Z. A few sprinkles or flurries may
glance the KOMA area, but should remain to the northeast for the
most part. Little to no accumulation is expected with any snow
that does fall today. Winds will remain out of the northeast at
5-10 kts this morning, increasing to 10-15 kts this afternoon
and evening. A better chance for accumulating snow will arrive
around the tail end of this TAF period and persist into early
Tuesday morning.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...CA
AVIATION...KG

NWS OAX Office Area Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion
NWS Hastings, NE

743
FXUS63 KGID 060531
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1231 AM CDT Mon Apr 6 2026

...AVIATION UPDATE...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Light snow may fall across portions of the area Monday night
  into Tuesday morning. Little to no snow accumulation is
  expected.

- Various rain chances are present Monday through Friday night.
  The highest chances (60% to near 80%) are Friday through
  Saturday night.

- Thunderstorms are possible beginning Wednesday afternoon
  (20%-30% chance).

- Temperatures will be cooler on Monday with a warmup through
  Wednesday then cooler temperatures through Friday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 214 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

A broad upper trough is over much of the eastern 2/3rds of the
country with an upper ridge centered over Arizona and New Mexico.
South central and central Nebraska and north central Kansas are on
the backside of the upper trough with winds mostly out of the west
to northwest. High temperatures today will be in the 60s and low 70s
with sunny to mostly sunny skies. Winds will become easterly to
northeasterly tonight as a surface high begins to move over much of
the area. Low temperatures tonight will mostly be in the 30s.

A cold front will affect much of the forecast area on Monday with
high temperatures expected to range from the 40s across the north to
the 70s in the south. Winds will remain out of the east Monday night
as atmospheric lift increases across the area. A mix of rain and
snow is possible (15% to 50% chance) Monday night. Little to no snow
accumulation is expected. Low temperatures Monday night will be in
the 20s and 30s. There is some uncertainty Tuesday with high
temperatures due to uncertainty with how far north a warm front will
move. High temperatures may range from the 70s in the far southwest
to the 40s in the far north. Light rain will also be possible on
Tuesday (up to 50% chance) mainly along and north of the front.
Winds will increase out of the south as the warm front lifts
northward Tuesday night. Low temperatures Tuesday night will be in
the 30s and 40s with 50s possible across the far south.

An upper trough will move over the northern and central Plains on
Wednesday with a cold front beginning to move into the area.
Temperatures are expected to warm up into the 60s and 70s on
Wednesday. Showers and storms may develop (20% to 45% chance)
Wednesday afternoon along the front with chances increasing to 45%
to 65% Wednesday night. Cooler air is expected to move into the area
on Thursday with some uncertainty remaining on high temperatures.
This cooler air will remain in place on Friday. A warm up is
expected on Saturday with highs in the 60s and 70s as winds increase
out of the south. Various precipitation chances continue Thursday
through Saturday night with the highest chances (60% to near 80%)
Friday through Saturday night.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1202 AM CDT Mon Apr 6 2026

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

VFR conditions are expected through most of the period with some
MVFR or near MVFR CIGS possible towards the tail end of the
period when the atmosphere begins to saturate.

For the overnight hours, expect generally light northeast
breezes less than 8 KTS to continue along with mostly clear
skies. Clouds should increase across the area during the morning
hours as a cold front pushes southwest across the terminals.
Gusty east/northeast winds (25 KTS+) can be expected behind
this front during the mid morning through afternoon hours as BKN
CIGS near 8KFT fill in across the area. Models signals are
mixed aft 07/00Z...so only introduced a prob30 group for some
light precip and near MVFR CIGS aft 07/02 for the time being.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Schuldt
AVIATION...Rossi

NWS GID Office Area Forecast Discussion